EU pigmeat production is expected to fall in the medium term


Sustainability concerns are expected to drive EU meat markets over the coming decade, pushing lower consumption per capita, more efficient production systems with fewer animals, and reduced exports of live animals.

According the European Union agricultural outlook for 2020-30 report, sustainability concerns are expected to drive EU meat markets over the coming decade, pushing lower consumption per capita, more efficient production systems with fewer animals, and reduced exports of live animals. Overall, EU meat consumption per capita is projected to decline by 1.1 kg, reaching 67.6kg by 2030.

EU pigmeat production and consumption falling

Environmental concerns in several EU Member States, coupled with the risk of ASF and changes in consumers’ preferences are likely to constrain EU pigmeat production in the medium term. It is expected to fall by 1 million t (-4.6%) between 2020 and 2030. The global pigmeat market will continue to add uncertainty to production and to the availability of meat for consumption in the EU. For instance, EU production did not rise in 2020 due to the unfavourable investment climate, despite the peak in world demand and favourable prices.

EU per capita pigmeat consumption started to decline in 2019, when the EU redirected a large share of pigmeat production to China while domestic prices were high; this caused consumers to switch to cheaper alternatives. The decline is set to continue after a short recovery in 2021, to 32 kg per capita by 2030 (1.4 kg less than 2020). EU consumers may not return to pigmeat and instead are likely to favour poultry meat.


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Source : pig333.com