FAS/Canada projects moderate growth in chicken meat production in 2022, following a robust recovery in 2021 prompted by stronger than anticipated sales through the retail channel and quick-service restaurants. Calendar year 2022 import tariff rate quota volumes will amount to over 110,000 metric tons (MT), of which 51,000 MT will be available exclusively to U.S. suppliers under USMCA implementation. FAS/Canada expects the United States to maintain a greater than 80 percent share of total Canadian chicken meat imports in 2022.
FAS/Canada projects moderate production growth for 2022, with chicken meat production forecast to reach 1.4 million metric tons (MMT), 3 percent above the estimated 2021 level. Retail demand for chicken meat remains solid, while sales through the food service channel are anticipated to gradually return to pre-pandemic levels.
FAS/Canada estimates 2021 chicken meat production at 1.36 MMT, up over 4 percent from 2020, and above the 2019 production level. In addition to strong chicken sales at retail, the quick-service restaurant channel has shown a robust recovery and became the driver behind growth in food service activity following the significant decline due to the COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns and restrictions.
Following the July 1, 2020, entry into force of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), Canadian chicken meat imports are comprised of three tariff rate quotas (TRQs): the global TRQ, now based on the fixed market access volume negotiated at the World Trade Organization (WTO); the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) TRQ; and the USMCA TRQ. The combined market access volume for chicken meat under these three TRQs will exceed 110,000 MT in 2022.
In addition to TRQ imports, Canadian poultry processing and further-processing companies are expected to import over 50,000 MT of chicken meat under Canada’s two import for re-export programs in 2021. Nearly all of the finished products produced under these programs would be exported to the United States.
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Source : USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) / FAS/Canada
GAIN (Global Agricultural Information Network)
Date du rapport : 31/08/2021